标签： 上海后花园龙凤

　　Affected by the expected increase in production, the futures price of BMD crude palm oil continued to fall, and domestic palm oil followed the trend of Malaysian palm oil and also hit a new low. Market participants said that it is necessary to pay attention to the short-term disturbance of the risk premium brought by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to palm oil prices.

　　According to Liu Ruijie, an oil and fat analyst at Qisheng Futures, the quotation of palm oil producing areas in Southeast Asia peaked in stages on April 3, and then entered the oscillation stage after a slight decline. After the MPOB report landed on April 15th, the logical stage of Ramadan production reduction and increase was exhausted. BMD crude palm oil led the domestic palm oil to fall, accompanied by the sharp depreciation of Malaysian ringgit and Indonesian rupiah, and the decline of palm oil quoted in US dollars was further expanded. In addition, some institutions said that Malaysian palm oil inventories were prone to inflection points in April and May, and then there would be a period of increasing production and accumulating stocks, which suppressed the market enthusiasm of palm oil, and the producing areas took the initiative to lower prices to promote the exchange.

　　"At present, the seasonal palm oil production in Malaysia has begun to recover. However, due to the Ramadan Festival, the output growth in March was lower than the historical average, and the export exceeded expectations, resulting in a drop in palm oil inventory in Malaysia to 1.715 million tons, down 10.68% from the previous month." Guo Wenwei, an oil and fat analyst at Huishang Futures, told reporters that Malaysian palm oil stocks may not be loose for the time being in April. In the first half of April, due to the impact of Eid al-Fitr, palm oil production growth in the second half of the month is expected to turn from negative to positive, and the margin of supply and demand is expected to improve. The willingness to sell goods in the place of origin has increased, and the quotation of the place of origin has loosened.

　　In fact, the data of palm oil production and demand in Malaysia in the first half of April continued to show a decrease in production and an increase in demand. SPPOMA data show that the yield of palm oil in Malaysia decreased by 22.43% and the oil yield increased by 0.03 percentage point from 1 to 15. According to ITS data, Malaysia exported 905,515 tons of palm oil from April 1 to 20, and 821,820 tons in the same period in March.

　　According to Liu Ruijie’s analysis, due to the holiday of Eid al-Fitr, the overall palm oil production level in Southeast Asia is still expected to be low in April. On the demand side, due to the low inventory in Indonesia, Malaysia’s palm oil export market has obviously improved this year compared with the same period of last year, and even after Ramadan, the export from April 15 to 20 can still reach a high level of 54,000 tons per day, so the supply and demand situation is still tight, and it is expected that the inventory will still drop by 100,000-200,000 tons at the end of April.

　　"Previously, the price of palm oil continued to rise, which was driven by the high cost performance of soft oil. In the first quarter, major demand countries such as India reduced palm oil purchases and turned to vegetable oils such as beans and sunflower oil. Under the expectation that the output growth is less than the export, Malaysian palm oil maintained its expectation of going to the warehouse in April, but the inflection point at the bottom of the inventory is expected to appear in the second quarter during the year. " Liu Jinlu, an oil analyst at Guoyuan Futures, said.

　　Domestically, the reporter learned that the current import price of palm oil is high, and the domestic import profit continues to be sluggish. This year, the overall import volume of palm oil is low. According to customs data, China imported 162,700 tons of palm oil in March, an increase of 67.49% from the previous month and a decrease of 58.12% year-on-year. Liu Jinlu said that after Ramadan, with the decline in the quotation of the place of origin, the profit of palm oil in the distant month has been restored, and the long-term purchase of ships has increased. However, the reality of tight in recent months still exists. From the demand side, the recent fall in prices has led to a pick-up in spot transactions, but it is still mainly just needed. According to institutional data, as of the week of April 12, the commercial inventory of palm oil in key areas of the country was 514,990 tons, a decrease of 8.19% from the previous month and a decrease of 42.65% year-on-year, which was in a low position in the same period of history. It is expected that in the second quarter, with the recovery of the arrival volume in Hong Kong, the palm oil inventory will start the repair process.

　　"At present, the spot price difference of domestic soybean palm oil is upside down, which has led to a sharp reduction in palm oil consumption. The substitution of domestic packaged soybean oil for palm oil has increased significantly. However, large food enterprises have not completely changed the formula, palm oil is only needed, and the decline rate of palm oil inventory has slowed down. There will be an inflection point after May." Guo Wenwei said.

　　Looking forward to the market outlook, Guo Guowei suggested that driven by the expected increase in palm oil supply in the producing area and the pressure of selling goods at reduced prices in the producing area, Malaysian palm oil continued its callback trend, and domestic palm oil supply was expected to increase, following the downward trend of Malaysian palm oil oscillation, but we still need to pay attention to the short-term disturbance of risk premium brought by geopolitical risks.

　　In Liu Ruijie’s view, although there may be an inventory inflection point in May, it is difficult to effectively accumulate Malaysian palm oil inventory even if it bottoms out in the second quarter. The staged drought in the third quarter of last year may still adversely affect the output in the second quarter of this year. In the third quarter of this year, there will be a possible La Nina phenomenon, and if there is too much rainfall in advance during the seasonal high-yield period, the output may also be affected. On the whole, there are still hidden dangers in palm oil production in Southeast Asia, and the inventory levels in Indonesia and Malaysia are low this year, and the overall supply status is not loose, so the subsequent price center of gravity still has the potential to move up.

　　Liu Jinlu believes that on the whole, the supply side of the producing area is expected to grow, and the domestic market is playing a game between tight reality and loose expectation. At the same time, the sharp fluctuation of crude oil price brought by geopolitical risks has driven the disturbance of raw wood demand, and also caused some disturbance to palm oil in the internal and external markets.

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Baiche Quan said

Others study cars, while I study you!

Click the audio above to listen to the full program, or click "Read the original text" below to jump to listen.

The last program talked about what car you will buy more than 200,000. This program continues to talk about what other cars 200,000 can choose. In addition to the four King Kong Camry, Accord, Passat and Maiteng of the B-class car, there are also new energy products such as Deep Blue SL03, Seal, and Han. In addition to these, will you spend 200,000 to buy a new model that has just been listed?

Don’t be in a hurry to deny, you know that just like some people buy a car and only recognize the label of the joint venture brand, some people buy it and recognize the label. But I think the new model is more like a new car, called H5L, or H6, but the family doesn’t seem to have models with even numbers, H5, H7, H9, HS5, HS7, HS9. Moreover, if it is called H6, it always feels strange to live in the shadow of another car.

The new listing price 15.98-22 5,800, this pricing controversy is quite big. The old H5 is still on sale, named H5 Classic, priced 145,800 – 190,800. So today’s program will talk about this car, what is the difference between the new model and the old model, buy the new model or the old model? And what are its competitors.

What is the difference between the new and old models?

The most obvious difference between the new model and the old model is where it can be seen.The appearance of the new H5 and the big brother H9 cannot be said to be indistinguishable, it is simply the same.Especially the front of the car, the huge vertical air intake grille, and the thick U-shaped chrome-plated strips are basically copied, oh no, it’s the big brother H9. It’s just that the daytime running lights of the H9 are connected to the U-shaped chrome-plated trim, and the U-shaped chrome-plated trim of the H5 is on both sides. The headlights are also shaped like the H9, which is split.

The difference between the side of the H5 and the big brother H9 is the door handle. The H9 is a hidden type, while the H5 is ordinary. It may be a cost issue, or it may be to save some face for the big brother. The rear shape is also very different, both of which are through taillights.

Looking at the old H5 again, although the front and rear of the car have many elements of their own, after all, the old H5 is a product of the same platform, so the overall outline is more like Artez. This is also why you will find that the old H5 is also the only one with smoother lines, or the style is completely different from other models.

Besides the interior, it should be to differentiate from the big brother H9. Instead of using a dual screen design, it used a 12.6-inch vertical screen like the Xiaopeng P5 and S-class. Although the resolution and response of the screen are not bad, the black edge is a bit too wide, which affects the appearance. However, compared with the old model, the appearance is indeed greatly improved, and the materials and comfort of the interior are also on par with the big brother H9.

In terms of size, it has also been improved a lot compared to the old model, with a length increase of 43 mm, a width increase of 30 mm, and a wheelbase increase of 45 mm. However, the front and rear suspension have not changed, and there are multiple links in the front and rear McPherson. The 1.5T version of the engine is the same as the old model, and even the engine code is word for word, CA4GB15TD-30, the maximum power is 124kW, and the peak torque is 258N · m.

The gearbox is the same, a 7-speed wet dual-clutch. Although there is no specific information on whether the platform of the new H5 is the same as the old one, it still uses the previous platform, but now, the 1.5T version of the engine, gearbox, and chassis suspension have not changed. The 1.5T Artez sounds very exciting.

However, except for 1.5T, the new H5 did not use the old 1.8T, but used 2.0T, with a maximum power of 165kW and a peak torque of 340N · m. Although the 2.0T engine is basically the same as the HS5 and H9, and the engine code is only different in the last digit, the new H5 is matched with Aisin’s 8AT, not the HS5’s 6AT. So it can be seen that this time I really attach great importance to the H5 car, and let the H5 use 8AT first. How does the actual driving experience? You can go to the store to experience it, at least from a sincere point of view, it is in place.

However, the H9 is unlikely to use this 8AT gearbox, because the H9 is a vertical platform rear-wheel drive, and the Aisin 8AT is basically equipped on a horizontal front-drive platform. Therefore, the new H9 released later is expected to still use the current 7-speed wet dual-clutch gearbox.

In addition to 2.0T, the new H5 also comes out with a 1.5T HEV hybrid version, which uses series-parallel hybrid technology, so you can understand that it replaces the traditional gearbox with dual motors, so that it can be driven purely electric at low speeds, high-speed parallel drive or direct engine drive. The official said that the fuel consumption per 100 kilometers is 5.1L/100KM, which is about 1L lower than the fuel car version.But compared to the more expensive price, it is not worth it.The most important thing is that this is a HEV, and it is still a blue card

How to choose the new and old models?

The old model is currently renamed H5 Classic, the price has not changed, two 1.5T, 14.58-14 8,800. There are four 1.8T, 16.28-19 800. However, the whole series has about 25,000 of discounts, so I really want to figure cheap, 148,800 1.5T flag rhyme version is the most worth buying, the naked car 123,000 about, the floor 130,000 can buy a B-class car, whether it is space size or price and configuration, it can be said.

As for the 1.8T H5 Classic, it can be said that it is completely unnecessary. The power is old, and the new one has already used 2.0T. If it is really cheap, 1.5T is enough. Even after the discount, the price of the naked car is almost the same as the new 1.5T.For the same price, do you really want to give up a new exterior and interior for that extra 28 horsepower? I guess no one will do that…

But you look at the price of the new H5, 1.5T configuration price 15.98 and 169,800, 2.0T price 17.98-21 5,800, so 1.5 and 2.0 only 10,000 yuan, but listen to the sales, many consumers looked at it and went straight to 2.0T. And the real situation is that 2.0T buys the most people, 1.5T is very small.

So the most worthwhile configuration of the new H5 is the 179,800 2.0T flag version, which is much more than 1.5T: L2 driving assistance, side air curtain, knee airbag, collision warning, driving mode switching, leather steering wheel, seat heating, Dan Na audio, etc., the price difference is only 10,000 blocks.

Therefore, the manufacturer is also changing the direction to let you choose the 2.0T model. Whether it is power or configuration, far more than the price difference of 10,000 yuan, this is definitely the best-selling version. The flag version, although more expensive, but only 18-inch wheels, 360 panoramic images, 12.3-inch LCD meters, mobile phone wireless charging, leather seats, LED fog lights, etc., this configuration seems to be cost-effective.

So to sum up in one sentence,For cost-effectiveness, buy the H5 Classic 1.5T Flag Rhyme. For the latest design language, buy the 2.0T Flag Enjoy Edition.

What are the competitors of H5?

In fact, this brand is very special in the Chinese market, even though it often appears at major national events, such as military parades, including the early CA770 and the L5, which is now worth millions.But when it really falls on a civilian car, it doesn’t give people the feeling of the CA770 and L5, or ratherBit very unclearBecause the previous H5 was based on other model platforms, it left a bad impression

However, with the launch of the HS5 and H9, they are gradually getting on the right track. At least these two cars are clear in terms of price and product. They are not the same as before. They will be sold after a change, including the new H5.

It can also be seen from the sales volume that consumers are willing to pay for it. For example, HS5 sold more than 130,000 units in the last year (2021.07-2022), ranking fourth in the medium-sized SUV. This result is quite good, ranking between GLC and GLC. So as long as you find the accurate positioning, coupled with good price and product power, there are still many consumers willing to pay for it.

Coming back to the main topic, the positioning of the B-class car, so the most direct competitors will also be the four King Kong of the B-class car: Accord, Camry, Maiteng and Passat. Although the picture may feel that the H5 is relatively small, but looking at the data, the length, width and height of the new H5 are 4988/1875/1470 with a wheelbase of 2920 mm, which is larger than the four King Kong.

Needless to say, the power of 224 horses of 2.0T + 8AT, 100 kilometers acceleration of 7.8 seconds. Not to mention the configuration, only you can’t think of it, without him dare not give it. Finally, the price. After all, the brand has some other attributes in it, so the price must not be low, at least from the guide price level can not, so the minimum 2.0T with 179,800, landing to nearly 200,000.

Although the power and configuration of the new H5 crushed the Four King Kong, the price was similar, which would make many people hesitate. After all, even with tens of thousands of discounts, they could barely beat Passat and Maiteng, and there was still a big gap between Accord and Camry. SoAs long as the landing price is similar to the Accord and Camry, the vast majority of people will still choose the Accord and CamryEven with a high brand belief bonus.

Therefore, the number of people who are willing to buy 200,000 depends on the final sales volume of the market. However, here is a reminder. Most models are guaranteed for free for life, and the money saved must be included. Otherwise, it will be a loss compared to the joint venture B-class car.

Looking back at the big brother H9, it has the product power, but sells the 3 series price; HS5 has the product power of Q5 but sells the price of Q3. Looking at the new H5, the product power of the B-class car sells the price of the B-class car, and consumers are likely to wait for the later discount, and the discount range that everyone is looking forward to may not be small.

So later, if you let go of the discount, I think the discount to the 1.5-2 5,000, sales should have a good increase. Otherwise, maybe only the four King Kong and Teana, Asian Dragon and other models are full, it is possible to get it.

But don’t forget, there is a big price plunge later, the Malibu XL 2.0T version that can be landed 170,000, and the pricing is very cheap. So whether the new H5 can sell well in the future, the later dealer’s discount is also very critical. So I think H5 is still hot now, just end the shelf a little bit, and then quickly light up the sword and lay the price down.

Ms. Yang’s reference to a "loved one" in the interview immediately sparked a buzz among netizens. Many thought she was hinting at her new romance, and some even began to speculate that the lucky one was Xiao Zhan.

Some fans are skeptical of this speculation, thinking it may just be a means of hype. However, more people believe that Yang Zi is already in a new relationship, and she inadvertently revealed this information in the interview.

This association is not groundless. In the entertainment industry, every detail of celebrities can become a topic of conversation. Especially for a high-profile actress like Yang Zi, every public statement she makes can cause an uproar.

The relationship between Yang Zi and Xiao Zhan is not just the imagination of fans. In "The Rest of Your Life, Please Teach Me More", the chemistry between the two makes the audience intoxicated. Their cooperation not only brings audience ratings, but also sows the seeds of countless guesses and expectations in the future.

However, the reality of the entertainment industry is often far more tortuous than it appears. Celebrities’ love lives are often a private part of their lives, and even in public, they can have difficulty controlling the flow and interpretation of news.

For Yang Zi, the rumors of a suspected new relationship may just be a continuation of her past cooperation with Xiao Zhan. The tacit understanding and interaction between the two have always been a topic that fans love to talk about. But in this industry full of halo and heat, anything can happen.

No matter what the final truth is, Yang Zi is a much-watched actor, and every move she makes touches the hearts of countless fans. Perhaps, this is also the charm of the entertainment industry, which is fascinating and unforgettable for a long time.

Therefore, whether it was the popularity of "Cheng Huan Ji" or the rumors of Yang Zi’s suspected new love affair, they all caused waves in the entertainment industry. Every star’s story is a part of this industry, and Yang Zi’s story, like her work, is worthy of our careful taste and exploration.

On November 27, Hong Kong media photographed Guo Fucheng and Fang Yuan with their two daughters at the racetrack. The family of four wore sunglasses and white dresses. Guo Fucheng also held the younger daughter in his arms and greeted the camera. The two little babies watched the race obediently, and the family of four was beautiful.

In 2015, Guo Fucheng revealed his love affair with Fang Yuan; in 2017, the two married. In the same year, Fang Yuan gave birth to her eldest daughter. Two years later, in 2019, Fang Yuan gave birth to her second daughter. Now, Guo Fucheng and Fang Yuan have been married for six years and have two lovely daughters. Guo Fucheng also often takes his wife and children out to play, and the family is full of happiness.