What is the effect of real estate regulation and control in 2017?

  Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, December 12th Question: Over 100 cities have issued more than 150 property market policies. What is the effect of real estate regulation in 2017?

  Xinhua News Agency "Xinhua Viewpoint" reporters Dong Jianguo, Zheng Juntian and Cheng Shihua

  In 2017, the real estate market in China ushered in strict regulation. According to incomplete statistics, up to now, more than 150 property market regulation policies have been issued by over 100 cities, and hot cities are constantly restricting purchases, loans, sales and businesses.

  According to a survey by Xinhua Viewpoint, the real estate market in hot cities is generally cooling down. The effect of destocking in the third and fourth lines is obvious, and some cities have turned to controlling housing prices. At the same time, many places have issued a document emphasizing both rent and purchase, expanding the rental market, and leased land has entered the market one after another.

  Controlling house prices: Hot cities collectively cooled down, and some third-and fourth-tier cities joined the price limit ranks.

  This year, strict regulation of real estate in first-and second-tier hotspot cities and maintaining the stable and healthy development of the market have become the main tone. Beijing, Nanjing, Zhengzhou and other places have also put forward the goal of no increase in house prices. From March to the end of November, Chaobaicheng has issued more than 150 property market regulation policies.

  Intensive control policies have gradually reversed the expectations of the real estate market. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, since May, there has been a "zero growth" in housing prices in Shanghai and Beijing, while housing prices in Shenzhen have fallen. In August, house prices in 15 hot cities stopped rising in an all-round way, among which the four first-tier cities in the north, Guangzhou and Shenzhen collectively stopped rising for the first time in 33 months; In September, Shanghai’s housing prices fell year-on-year; By October, the prices of new commercial housing in 10 hot cities had fallen back to a year ago, and the real estate market in key cities was in a collective cooling trend, and the trend of de-investment was obvious.

  Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real Estate, believes that the year-on-year decline in house prices in 10 hot cities is the first time since 2016. Under the influence of strict regulation of the property market, the peak of buying houses in core hot cities is gradually ebbing.

  The cooling of the real estate market has affected the land market. According to the latest report released by China Index Academy, in November, the supply and transaction volume of land markets in major cities across the country declined month-on-month, and a total of 2,696 land projects were launched in 300 cities across the country, a decrease of 11% month-on-month; The total land transfer fee was 371.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 7% from the previous month; From the perspective of price, the average premium rate of land in 300 cities nationwide in November was 20%, down 4 percentage points from the previous month.

  "In ‘ Don’t speculate if you live in a house ’ Under the guidance of the policy, the future housing attributes will be de-invested and pay more attention to the residential attributes. " Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, believes that over the past year or so, the local property market regulation policies have attacked the investment speculation demand of hot cities. With the year-on-year decline of housing prices in some cities, there is little room for the year-on-year increase of housing prices in 70 cities, and the year-on-year increase will continue to narrow in the future.

  In some third-and fourth-tier cities, while destocking has achieved positive results, it has also changed from a backlog of inventory to a rapid rise in housing prices. To this end, this year’s real estate regulation and control continued to make up for shortcomings, and the regulation and control policies began to go deep into third-and fourth-tier cities: Dongying, Liaocheng, Liuzhou, Guangxi and other cities joined the ranks of restricted sales, while Yangzhou increased the restricted sales period for second-hand houses; Some cities such as Langfang have also joined the ranks of price limits.

  De-stocking: Third-and fourth-tier cities are divided, and the decline in stock scale coexists with sales difficulties.

  Many insiders believe that the focus of real estate destocking in 2017 is mainly concentrated in third-and fourth-tier cities.

  According to the National Bureau of Statistics, at the end of October, the area of commercial housing for sale was 602.58 million square meters, a decrease of 8.82 million square meters compared with the end of September. Among them, the residential area for sale decreased by 7.72 million square meters.

  According to the data released by Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, as of the end of October 2017, the total inventory of new commercial housing in 80 monitored cities was 394.9 million square meters, a decrease of 2.1% from the previous month and a decrease of 10.1% year-on-year, which has been declining for 27 consecutive months. The reporter noted that third-and fourth-tier cities accounted for more than half of the 80 cities. Compared with historical data, the inventory scale is equivalent to the level in August 2013, that is, the inventory scale has fallen back to four years ago.

  However, "the housing stock situation in third-and fourth-tier cities is very different: places with industrial support and close to hot cities are attractive to the population and have strong market demand; There are still many cities that have been blindly developed in the past, which has caused many real estate sales difficulties. " Ouyang Jie, senior vice president of Xincheng Holdings, said.

  In addition, "after the regulation of real estate in hot cities, a large number of investment needs have been squeezed into the surrounding third-and fourth-tier cities. On the one hand, it is destocking, on the other hand, it is limited to housing prices, and some third-and fourth-tier cities have entered a parallel mode of dual-track regulation. " Yan Yuejin said.

  Rent and purchase at the same time: over 50 cities have issued a new lease policy, and many leased land have entered the market.

  This year, many places have accelerated the establishment of a housing system that combines rent and purchase as the starting point for improving the long-term mechanism. At present, China’s rental population is estimated to be 190 million, and the rental market has exceeded one trillion yuan. According to incomplete statistics, up to now, more than 50 cities in China have issued new leasing policies.

  — — Increase leased land in multiple ways. Recently, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Zhengzhou and other cities have successively started the "rent-only-not-for-sale" land sales model, and most of the land plots have been auctioned by state-owned enterprises at "zero premium rate". According to the statistics of Tongce Research Institute, as of the end of November 2017, there were 26 cases of housing land listed for lease in major cities across the country.

  — — Encourage leasing enterprises to develop on a large scale and professionally. Hangzhou proposed to select about 15 housing leasing enterprises with a certain scale and brand as the pilot of specialized housing leasing. Chengdu and Shenyang proposed to strive to cultivate and develop no less than 50 institutionalized and large-scale leasing enterprises by 2020; Hefei and Xiamen both expressed their support for housing leasing enterprises to become bigger and stronger through merger and reorganization.

  — — The financial factors that promote the development of the leasing market are taking shape. Recently, the first batch of REITs products leased by central enterprises was reviewed and approved by Shanghai Stock Exchange. Many banks, such as China CITIC Bank, China Construction Bank and China Bank, have recently announced their financial support for housing leasing, including financial support for enterprises and consumer credit support for individuals.

  According to industry insiders, the country’s development of the rental market is unprecedented, and it is necessary to speed up the construction of the legal system of housing rental in the future.

The real estate market is expected to improve.

At present, the real estate market is experiencing a series of positive changes. On the one hand, the interest rate and down payment ratio of the first home loan in many places have declined, and the decline in market sales has narrowed significantly; On the other hand, the financing environment of real estate enterprises continued to improve, and the decline in real estate development investment narrowed.
Further release demand
Releasing rigid and improved housing demand is a key measure to promote the healthy and sustainable development of real estate. Reducing the mortgage interest rate and the down payment ratio will help to further release market demand.
The data shows that in March this year, the interest rate of the first mainstream mortgage in Shell Baicheng averaged 4.02%, a slight decrease of 2 basis points from last month; The average interest rate of the second mainstream mortgage was 4.91%, which was the same as last month. From the perspective of interest rate reduction, the mortgage interest rates in third-and fourth-tier cities dropped the most year-on-year, with the first and second mortgage interest rates dropping by 140 basis points and 75 basis points respectively.
"As of the end of December 2022, the average interest rate of newly issued personal housing loans dropped by about 140 basis points compared with the end of last year. Except for a few hot cities, the lower limit of the down payment ratio policy in most cities has reached the national bottom line. " Pan Gongsheng, deputy governor of the People’s Bank of China, said that from the demand side, the implementation of differentiated housing credit policies and continuous guidance of the real interest rate and down payment ratio will better support the rigid and improved housing demand.
At the same time, the speed of bank lending has also increased. The data shows that the average lending period of Shell Baicheng Bank in March was 21 days, which was 7 days shorter than last month. "For banks, housing mortgage loans are still high-quality assets." Ceng Gang, director of the Shanghai Finance and Development Laboratory, said that the credit scale of commercial banks was relatively abundant in the first quarter, which also improved the lending speed to some extent.
"Driven by a series of policies, there have been some positive changes in the real estate market, mainly in the obvious narrowing of the decline in market sales." Fu Linghui, director of the National Statistics Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that in the first two months of this year, the sales area of commercial housing decreased by 3.6% year-on-year, and the decline narrowed by 20.7 percentage points.
Repair supply-side expectation
In addition to the demand side, there have also been many positive changes in the supply side. The data shows that the investment in real estate development in the first two months decreased by 5.7% year-on-year, which was 4.3 percentage points narrower than that in 2022. The funds in place of real estate development enterprises decreased by 15.2%, and the decline narrowed by 10.7 percentage points; The prosperity index of real estate development in February was 94.67, which was higher than that in January.
"At present, China’s economy is stabilizing and picking up, and it is expected to improve, which will help narrow the decline in real estate investment." Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that the financial management department has introduced a number of policies and measures to improve the financing of real estate enterprises, and the financing of credit, bonds and equity has been "three arrows in one go" to continuously alleviate the financial pressure of real estate enterprises.
Since last year, the financial management department has issued 16 policies and measures to support the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, and has continued to promote the refinement and implementation of the policies. At present, the financial management department is carrying out four actions of "asset activation", "debt continuation", "equity supplement" and "expected promotion" to fully implement the plan to improve the balance sheet of high-quality housing enterprises. At the same time, we will slow down the excessive risk aversion of financial institutions and guide them to provide normal financing. Data show that in January this year, real estate development loans increased by more than 370 billion yuan, an increase of 220 billion yuan year-on-year.
In addition to improving the financing environment, the credit risk of the real estate industry has also converged. "We believe that in the past, the risk spread trend of housing enterprises has been curbed and the liquidity of housing enterprises has been significantly improved." Hu Gang, vice president of CITIC Bank, said. The 2022 annual report recently released by CITIC Bank shows that by the end of December 2022, the asset quality of the bank’s real estate industry and construction industry continued to show an improvement trend, and the balance of non-performing loans in the two industries decreased by 1.789 billion yuan and 1.251 billion yuan respectively compared with the end of last year.
"Although the financing environment has improved, the willingness of housing enterprises, especially private housing enterprises, to start new construction is still insufficient." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, said that it is expected that the growth rate of real estate development investment will still fluctuate in the process of recovery. Lou Feipeng believes that the main reason for this phenomenon is that the expectations of housing enterprises are still poor, so it is necessary to comprehensively stabilize and improve expectations.
Increasing confidence remains the key.
In February this year, the sales price of new commercial housing in first-tier cities rose by 0.2% month-on-month, the same as last month; The sales price of second-hand houses rose by 0.7% month-on-month, with an increase of 0.3 percentage points over the previous month.
"At present, the rebound of the second-hand housing market and the market heat are slightly higher than those of the new housing market." Wen Bin said that on the whole, the sustainability of the market recovery remains to be seen.
"The uncertainty of second-hand housing is low, and its demand depends on the expectations of buyers and rigid demand. In contrast, there is uncertainty in new houses, and the failure to deliver some houses on time has affected the willingness of buyers. " Ceng Gang said.
Luo Yifei, chief statistician of the Investment Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, said that it is necessary to continuously release the rigidity of the real estate market and the demand for improved housing, promote the construction of the "Baojiaolou" project, and gradually boost market confidence. "Last year, the policy of" guaranteeing the delivery of buildings "played an important role in ensuring people’s livelihood." Fu Linghui said. At present, the regulatory authorities have launched a special loan of 350 billion yuan for Baojiaolou, set up a loan support plan of 200 billion yuan for Baojiaolou and a loan support plan of 100 billion yuan for rental housing, and guided financial institutions to promote industry restructuring and mergers and acquisitions to speed up the marketization of risks.
"The most important thing now is to look at the changes in market confidence and demand side, mainly the changes in first-hand housing sales." Hu Wei said. The sale of first-hand houses means that housing enterprises sell new houses directly to individual customers. Its warming means that the funds of housing enterprises are returning to the good, which helps to alleviate the financial pressure of housing enterprises and resolve risks. "In real estate transactions, although the situation varies from place to place, on the whole, the transaction volume of first-hand houses is large, and the recovery of sales represents a rebound in demand, which has certain guiding significance for the judgment of the real estate market trend." Yan Feipeng said.
"The recent RRR cut implemented by the central bank can increase the medium and long-term loanable funds, which will help enhance the enthusiasm of financial institutions to support the financing of housing enterprises and meet the reasonable financing needs of housing enterprises." Wen Bin said that the RRR cut will release low-cost funds and help support rigid and improved housing demand through differentiated loan interest rates.
"At present, it is necessary to further stabilize the income growth expectations of residents." Ceng Gang said that for residents, mortgage is a long-term debt, and their willingness to spend and ability to pay debts depend on their stable employment and income growth. Therefore, it is necessary to increase the income of urban and rural residents through multiple channels and maintain the overall stability of the price situation.
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"dancing with the stars" won the first place in the six-in-five competition (photos)

Shannon’s exaggerated dance did not please the judges (data picture)

Jason’s powerful bullfighting dance (data picture)

Christie’s playful and lively Cha Cha (data picture)

Marisa’s Tango Dance (data picture)

  Last week, the deaf-mute actress Marlee Matlin and her partner Fabian Sanchez were out, while the high-scoring player Mario accidentally fell into Bottom 2. There have been some minor changes in the flow of this week’s competition. The remaining six groups of stars will perform ballroom dance and Latin dance respectively, and both dances will be strictly graded by the judges. With the progress of the competition, the difficulty of dancing will continue to increase.

  1. Marissa Jaret Winokur and Tony Doirat.

  Dance Type: Tango Score: 27

 As a Broadway musical actress, Marisa is showing more and more potential in dancing. After last week’s impressive Viennese waltz, this week, she won the praise of the judges. Whether it’s fresh and agile dance steps or precise and changeable movements, she can express it just right, and even the happy smiling face on weekdays is very well replaced by Leng Yan’s blurred expression. Although the high score given by the judges is somewhat unbalanced, it is not too much.

  Dance type: rumba score: 25

 In order to match the graceful characteristics of rumba, Marisa put on a red dress. But gorgeous clothes don’t suit her, which makes her body shape expand a lot. Perhaps a good beginning is really half the battle, and the seemingly sleepy dance has made the judges score high. Bruno continued to preach his out-of-the-box remarks, and Marisa was ecstatic about tonight’s high score again.

  2. Cristian de la Fuente and Cheryl Burke.

  Dance Type: Vienna Waltz Score: 25

 Christian’s performance in the rehearsal was a little artificial and overdone, but his lovely little daughter brought him back a lot of impression points. Their dance is slow and elegant, but they always feel a little vague in content. Bruno, a judge who has always been exaggerating, praised Christian as the "Clark Gable of South America" on the dance floor. Obviously, this is also a bit hot-headed, including his score of 9.

  Dance type: samba score: 21

 This is a dance that requires movement and enthusiasm, but Christian is slow and stiff compared with her dancing partner Booker. It turned out that he pulled his arm and didn’t show it until the end.

  The judges made symbolic comments and scores, and I believe the audience can make their own judgments.

  3. Kristi Yamaguchi and Mark Ballas.

  Dance Type: Vienna Waltz Score: 26

 Last week’s perfect score brought great pressure to Kristi and Mark. At this time, Olympic champion Kristi had an advantage in Emotional adjustment. She took Mark to the real ice rink to relax. That night, their waltz was smooth, gorgeous, romantic and elegant, and the designed plot and shiny umbrella props gave people beautiful enjoyment. Unfortunately, this week’s judges seem to want to change their tastes, and Kristi also scored 8 points for the first time. In the face of Samantha, the tricky host, who once led all the way but was accidentally eliminated halfway, Mark and Kristi had to continue their efforts.

  Dance Type: Cha Cha Cha Score: 28

 From the moment when the music with strong rhythm sounded, the lively and playful dance of the two caught the attention of the audience. Kristi’s dancing skills are convincing and her movements are neat and in place. Mark blended hip-hop into the dance, which made the old-fashioned judge Len feel a little emotional. But the other two judges scored 10 points, which fully proved their good dance strength.

  4. Mario and Karina Smirnoff.

  Dance Type: Foxtrot Score: 24

 Mario was badly hit by the audience’s failure to buy it last week, and he was also thinking about his MV in rehearsal. However, the dance of the two is still expressive, Mario’s hand movements are smooth and calm, and the dance steps are still smooth. The judges’ psychology is always unpredictable, perhaps because of the introspection of scoring high marks last week, and the final score can only be counted as reluctance.

  Dance Type: Mambo Score: 27

 Dark skin and passionate personality are the unique advantages for them to perform lively and humorous mambo dance. Their explosive dancing showed the humorous and wild charm of mambo dance, which was finally affirmed by the judges.

  5. Shannon Elizabeth and Derek Hough.

  Dance Type: Tango Score: 27

 Shannon and Derek were extremely dissatisfied with the judges’ comments last week, and they also made some radical remarks, just venting their anger in the tango dance that needed to be "mixed with love and hate". I don’t know whether the color of the costume is too depressing or the dance itself lacks vitality. The whole performance looks dull, rigid and stiff. But the judges gave an incredible high score, which is really puzzling.

  Dance Type: Mambo Score: 24

 In order to refute the judge’s comment that he can’t swing his hips, Shannon did not hesitate to put on a fake hip and used extremely exaggerated dance moves to win the position. However, the artificial design makes the performance of the two people a little too enthusiastic and even a little vulgar. The calm judges gave rational scores.

  6. Jason Taylor and Edyta Sliwinska

  Dance Type: Fast Step Score: 29

 Jason, who experienced ups and downs last week, trained harder this week, and their quickstep dance aroused cheers from the audience. Jason, a football star with athletic cells, dazzled the audience with his leaping rotation and fast and changeable pace. The dance steps are brisk and active, which brings endless joy and pleasure.

  Dance Type: Bull Dance Score: 26

 The powerful and passionate bullfighting dance is perfect for Jason. With two black lines under his eyes, he swam between the dance floors with the powerful music. His eyes are firm and sharp, his steps are agile and frustrated, his turn is vigorous and vigorous, and his interaction with Adita is vivid and intense. Although there was a foul off the ground at the end, it did not affect the overall look and feel. This is the first time that they have surpassed Christie and earned high marks. (go for a ride/text)

  Disclaimer: Sina. com’s exclusive manuscript, please indicate the source.

Editor: Li Ming

Musk, the richest man in the world: Being fool in love in the love affair with "Crazy Beauty" Amber.

The women that Musk, the richest man in the world, likes all have the same characteristics, they are beautiful and have high IQ.

Amber Heard, a Hollywood actress, has a perfect face, stunning appearance, clean and cold temperament, and a bit like a girl next door.

Musk couldn’t resist such a beauty and plunged into the love affair with Amber.

He only saw the beauty of Amber, but he didn’t know there was a crazy soul under the beautiful skin.

Amber is a typical crazy beauty, which makes him eat up the pain of love.

In 2013, Musk met Amber. At that time, he had the idea of pursuing beauty and invited each other to dinner.

At that time, Amber and Johnny Depp were madly in love and didn’t pay any attention to him at all.

Depp, who starred in the Pirates of the Caribbean series, became the top stream in Hollywood and got the title of captain.

Amber and Depp got married in 2015, and after only one year of marriage, they got divorced.

Amber looks like a girl next door on the surface, quiet and beautiful, but in reality it’s crazy.

In terms of feelings, it is not uncommon for her to eat for all ages, for both men and women, and for her to tread more than one boat.

When Amber and Depp divorced, they were accused of excreting in his bed.

I should know something about Amber’s crazy Musk, which didn’t scare him off.

These are not problems for him, but a little crazy can be used as a substitute for life and make life more interesting.

When he entered this relationship, he found that Amber’s madness far exceeded his imagination and brought him great pain.

When Amber and Depp divorced, they walked down the red carpet once and met Musk by chance.

Seeing that Amber was alone, Musk took the initiative to go forward and ask questions.

In this chat, the two exchanged contact information, and Musk began to pursue Amber.

Musk’s way of pursuing beauty is as domineering as the president in Ba Zong’s novel.

Amber complained to him that Depp had domestic violence.

This aroused his strong desire for protection and provided her with 24-hour uninterrupted security service.

As a science and technology madman, he thinks it’s romantic to show someone he likes high technology.

He took Amber to the launch site of Rocket Falcon 9.

Musk successfully caught up with the goddess in his heart.

There are also many happy and sweet moments between them.

Have dinner together happily, walk hand in hand in the street, kiss and hug in public.

In order to make Musk happy, Amber tailored the costume for him.

Happy moments are just embellishments, and the main tone of this relationship is black and violent.

No one knows what Amber thinks in her heart. In this relationship, she especially likes to create chaos and sabotage.

She and Musk often quarreled, and they quarreled all night and endlessly.

Such a day is a kind of torture for each other.

There is love between the two people, and they torture each other, sometimes breaking up and sometimes getting back together.

Musk said that Amber broke up more times than he did.

He really loves Amber.

He is reluctant to leave each other, but it is very painful to be together. This relationship makes him feel "too cruel".

Musk’s relatives and friends don’t like this tossing Amber, saying that she is the most unbearable of all Musk’s girlfriends.

Musk’s younger brother thinks that this woman is "too poisonous", which makes his brother suffer greatly but can’t stop.

This relationship is also quite strong.

The two broke up after dating for more than a year.

After breaking up, Musk often locked himself in a dark room, and the whole person seemed to be in a coma.

This situation lasted for a year and a half.

When Musk told others about his feelings during that time, he said that it was the most painful moment in his life, which was unbelievable.

When the relationship is over, Musk still can’t forget Amber. When he meets the opportunity, he will come to a hero to save the beauty.

After Amber played Hai in Warner’s Neptune, the film received a good response.

The divorce case between Amber and Depp was raging and their reputation was greatly affected.

In 2021, when Warner filmed Aquaman 2, it didn’t want to use Amber any more for fear of affecting the box office.

As the ex-boyfriend of Amber, Musk was very dissatisfied after hearing about it and gave a letter to the film producer.

The general meaning of the letter is that if Amber is not allowed to participate in the filming of the sequel to Neptune, he will burn down the house.

Who is not afraid of the threat of the world’s richest man and scientific genius, Musk has this ability.

So, people saw Amber again in Aquaman 2.

When Musk’s biographer asked him why he fell in love with a woman who was "mean" to him, he replied that he was a fool in love.

Extreme success must be accompanied by extreme personality.

Musk has indeed achieved extreme success in his career and technology. Of course, his personality is also extreme in some aspects.

I often do something that looks silly in love. If I don’t have the aura of the richest man, I will be really stupid in people’s eyes.

The first "Pioneer" strategic missile regiment is on duty during the year! Russian hypersonic strike system has basically taken shape.

[Global Network Reporter Zhang Haichao] On August 10, the Russian military intensively announced the latest progress of its various hypersonic weapons: the first "Pioneer" hypersonic strategic missile regiment will be fully loaded into combat duty in the fourth quarter of 2021; The "Zircon" hypersonic missile completed the national acceptance in 2021, and the first Russian warships equipped with the missile were ready.
Considering that the Russian Air Force has already installed "daggers" earlier, in addition to the army, several Russian armies have been or will soon be equipped with hypersonic weapons, which can perform tasks ranging from intercontinental strategic nuclear strikes to campaign tactics and conventional operations, covering all kinds of targets on land and at sea. It can be said that the Russian hypersonic weapon strike system has basically taken shape. This is not a star and a half ahead of the US military.
Russian "Pioneer" hypersonic glider breaks through the anti-missile interception effect map.
According to a report by the Tass news agency on August 10th, Major General Andrei Cherevko, commander of the 13th Missile Division of the Russian Strategic Rocket Force, reported to Defense Minister shoigu: "The 13th Missile Division continues to take measures to replace the new strategic missile system. According to the 2021 mandate, the first missile regiment equipped with the’ Pioneer’ system should complete deployment and perform combat duty. "
Cherevko said: "Two well-based launchers with missiles are being prepared. Dressing is going on according to the schedule. The missile will be placed in the well-based launcher and ready to enter the combat alert (state) in the fourth quarter of 2021. "
It is reported that in December 2019, some of the first missile regiments equipped with "Pioneer" hypersonic strategic missiles were put into combat duty in orenburg region of Urals.
Cherevko also reported to Shao Yigu that the second intercontinental ballistic missile regiment equipped with "Pioneer" will be put into combat duty in the 13th Missile Division in 2023.
According to two other reports from the Tass news agency, Russian Deputy Minister Alexei Krivoruchko said on August 10th that the national test of "Zircon" hypersonic missile will be completed in 2021.
Data Map of Russian Navy’s Test-fired Zircon Hypersonic Missile
On the same day, Rear Admiral Alexander Zalenkov, commander of the 11th submarine division of the Russian Northern Fleet, reported to Defense Minister shoigu that the new Kazan 885M nuclear submarine, which was commissioned in May this year, could carry a Tsirkon hypersonic missile to strike targets on the ground and at sea. The submarine "has better stealth, higher maneuverability, upgraded communication and sonar system, and better living conditions". According to the development strategy, the 855M nuclear submarine will become the pillar of the Russian navy’s attack submarine force.
According to the report, the Avangar glider can fly in a dense atmosphere at a hypersonic speed of up to Mach 28 and break through any anti-missile defense system. Russian President Vladimir Putin first mentioned the "Pioneer" hypersonic weapon in March 2018.
"Zircon" is the first hypersonic cruise missile in the world that can use its own engine thrust for long-term aerodynamic flight in dense atmosphere. Its speed can reach about Mach 9, and its maximum range is said to reach 1000 kilometers. Earlier Russian media reports showed that the Russian Navy had a number of new surface ships and nuclear submarines that would be equipped with "zircon" for the first time.
MIG -31K mounted "dagger" hypersonic missile
On the whole, Russia already has a variety of hypersonic weapons, ranging from strategic strikes ("Pioneer") to campaign and tactical strikes ("Dagger" and "Zircon"), ranging from intercontinental level to hundreds of kilometers, which can be used for both strategic nuclear strikes and conventional attacks, covering various target types on land and at sea.
In addition, Russia is still developing updated hypersonic weapons, which are used to equip Su -57, future and active improved strategic bombers, etc., and perform more diverse combat missions.
At present, except for Zircon, which is undergoing the final acceptance test, the other two "Dagger" and "Zircon" have been installed in the Russian Air Force and Strategic Rocket Force and put into use. If the "zircon" is accepted successfully, the blank of the Russian navy will soon be completed. With the development and testing of various types of hypersonic weapons, the Russian army is also making preparations at the same time, forming a relatively complete system work from the aspects of receiving troops, weapon platforms and infrastructure. From the current situation, the Russian multi-service hypersonic weapon strike system has basically taken shape. This is not a star and a half ahead of the US military.
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Tourism continues to soar in 2024: using ink weather to help travel without worry

In 2023, the events of "fancy inward-rolling travel bureau chief", "special forces travel" and "rushing into Zi to roast" are still fresh in my mind. At the beginning of 2024, the stories of "Erbin" and "Southern Potato" have already swept the whole network, and the hot terms related to tourism have exploded on the Internet, which also reflects the growing enthusiasm of consumers for going out, which simultaneously reflects the rapid recovery of tourism after the epidemic.

Ink weather relies on its AI algorithm and machine deep learning technology, based on meteorological big data, and takes the weather as the entrance to provide users with more life-oriented and scene-based services, which can provide decision-making reference for users to travel from multiple angles.

One-click query of weather conditions and reasonable planning of travel arrangements

What kind of travel mode do you choose when making tourism-related decisions? What time does it leave? Which route do you choose? It is inseparable from the consideration of weather conditions, and ink weather just meets the needs of users, and collects the problems that may be faced when traveling, providing a simple and clear "one-stop" solution.

According to the relevant data, the model forecast independently developed by ink weather has achieved an average temperature forecast of 90.12% in 1-5 days, and the forecast accuracy of short-term forecast and sunny and rainy forecast exceeds 90%, which also means that users can effectively cope with sudden weather conditions during the journey by using ink weather, helping users to adjust their journey plans in time and ensure the smooth and safe travel.

In addition, ink weather also provides extended functions such as driving danger forecast and thunderstorm warning for member users, which can reasonably plan the route scheme according to the user’s destination and departure place, and monitor the meteorological data in real time, which can not only analyze the road surface, line of sight, wind power and other conditions, but also provide different tips according to different levels of risks, so that the weather conditions along the way can be seen at a glance, greatly saving the time of planning the route before travel and reducing the burden for travel.

Provide multidimensional health services to help users nip in the bud.

The change of geographical location brought by traveling will cause great changes in the environmental temperature in a short period of time. Under the condition that the body’s adaptability to temperature difference is limited, it is likely to cause diseases in respiratory tract, intestines and stomach, and disrupt the planned travel arrangements. Ink weather, with its advantages of deep cultivation of "weather+scene service" for many years, closely links meteorology and life with science and technology, and provides multiple health services closely related to life scenes.

In the "Travel" module, ink weather provides users with cross-city weather comparison. In a visual way, users can visually see the comparison of weather data such as temperature, humidity and ultraviolet rays between the departure place and the destination. Combined with the dressing guide, they can dress appropriately according to the weather changes, which is convenient for preparing to increase or decrease clothes in advance and ensuring the health of travel to a great extent.

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The travel plan lies in the weather. Ink weather is bringing users more good experiences that fit their own weather scenes with the ability of capturing weather information in real time and linking diversified application scenarios, capturing more and more "resident" users, helping them to cope with the life changes brought by the weather more freely, and ensuring them to enjoy a better and higher quality life.

In 2024, Ink Weather will continue to use massive meteorological data and technical advantages to continuously improve the accuracy of weather forecasting and expand the depth and breadth of weather forecasting services; At the same time, efforts should be made to broaden the boundary between weather and life, customize personalized travel arrangements for users, provide more convenient and high-quality life services, seize the tourism boom, and add weight to the recovery of China’s tourism economy.

Are you ready for skiing?

Current expert

Jin Degang: Graduated from Jilin Institute of Physical Education, from 2017 to 2019, he was the coach of the national freestyle skiing platform and slope obstacle events in China, and now he is the freestyle skiing coach of the Snow Sports Management Center of Jilin Provincial Sports Bureau.

"Winter Olympics in Beijing, experience in Jilin". The successful bid for the Winter Olympics has made people pay more attention to skiing and made skiing a favorite sport for teenagers. However, the sports injuries caused by skiing are also increasing year by year. Therefore, if teenagers really want to experience the fun of skiing, they need to know some relevant safety knowledge before exercise. This issue of "Verification" invited snow sports experts to teach you the safety matters that should be paid attention to when skiing.

How to choose suitable protective equipment

Jin Degang: Before skiing, parents should prepare a full set of protective equipment, such as helmet, snow goggles and full set of protective gear (armor, hip protection, knee protection and wrist protection). Protective gear can effectively prevent falls and minimize the harm. snow goggles can reduce the eye irritation caused by watching snow for a long time and prevent snow blindness. Before buying, you can measure the dimensions of the corresponding parts with a tape measure, such as waist circumference, knee circumference, hip circumference, leg circumference, shoulder circumference and head circumference, and then go to the offline sports protective equipment store to choose the sports protective equipment you need. When buying, you can wear protective gear and do a few simple actions, such as squatting, jumping, running, arm swinging and so on, to ensure that the equipment plays a protective role.

Preparatory activities that need to be done before skiing

Jin Degang: 1. Warm-up activities mainly focus on static stretching, stretching muscles, stretching muscle flexibility, ensuring that the body has a sense of stretching during the activity, so that muscles can be tense at any time.

2. Running and jumping exercises, mainly based on dynamic stretching, are the flexibility, responsiveness and sensitivity of moving joints, so that the small joints can move and the whole body can be warmed up before snow sports can be carried out. If you feel weak in some places during activities, you can do small forces corresponding to weaknesses.

Safety matters to be paid attention to when teenagers learn skiing for the first time

Jin Degang: 1. First of all, choose the right snowshoes, skis and poles. The size of snowshoes should fit your feet. When choosing a snowboard for beginners, the appropriate size is to subtract 15cm to 5cm from your child’s height. Beginners suggest choosing a slightly longer snowball fight, which can have a stable support point when skiing fast.

2. When skiing, don’t stop in the middle of the snowy road, which is prone to collision and injury. If you are tired of skiing, you can rest close to the protective net, which can effectively prevent accidents.

3. Keep warm. It is best to wear soft winter clothes, gloves and shoes.

4. Prevent mountain reaction. Few people have mountain reaction when skiing. At this time, we must master the rhythm of exercise and adjust our breathing.

5. Snowboards and poles should be used correctly by children. When in danger, the snowshoes should be separated from the snowboard in time.

Pay attention to diet before skiing.

Jin Degang: 1. It is not recommended to eat too much before exercise, so as to avoid nausea and vomiting during strenuous exercise. You can eat some carbohydrates and protein foods, such as rice, pasta, eggs, beef, sweet potatoes, whole wheat bread, milk, nuts, oats and other foods, supplement protein and carbohydrates, and eat more fruits and vegetables, such as kiwi fruit, green peppers, oranges, cherry tomatoes and carrots. During skiing, you can eat energy bars, bananas, apples, sandwiches and yogurt to supplement the calories you need. When skiing, you should add more water and replenish water to your skin to prevent chapped face.

You can protect yourself by following the following skiing positions.

Jin Degang: Beginner skiers had better hire a coach. A good coach has the most standardized movements and systematic teaching outline, which helps beginners to master this sport technique correctly. Double-board skiing is forward-oriented. If you don’t master the skills and speed well, you are prone to wrestling. Frequent wrestling is prone to injuries. If you have a coach with skiing, you will master the skills, postures and proficiency quickly, and you will be able to wrestle less and take fewer detours.

The correct posture of skiing is that your feet are shoulder-width, your knees are naturally bent, and your calf is attached to the tongue of your snowshoe. Don’t leave. Place your center of gravity beside your feet, with your knees and toes in a line, and your buttocks should not be behind your heels. Lift your hands to the same height as your hips, naturally bend your arms and hold the battle, and look ahead. (Reporter Jing Yang)

Economic observation: What can the Belt and Road Initiative bring to RMB internationalization?

  China news agency, Beijing, August 13th (Reporter Wang Enbo) As two important arrangements in the new pattern of economic governance in China, there is huge room for the coordinated development of the Belt and Road Initiative and RMB internationalization. The former, in particular, has become a new driving force for the latter to keep moving forward.

  Nowadays, the RMB has become more and more "international". On October 1, 2016, the RMB was officially included in the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) currency basket of the International Monetary Fund, and the road to internationalization ushered in a milestone. According to the statistics of SWIFT, as of June this year, more than 1,900 financial institutions around the world use RMB as the payment currency.

  So, what can the "Belt and Road" bring to the further internationalization of the RMB? Sun Guofeng, director of the Financial Research Institute of the People’s Bank of China, said at the first China Financial Forty Forum held recently that the international status of currency has created conditions for China’s banking system to provide overseas financing in the form of RMB. Exporting RMB under capital with the help of the Belt and Road Initiative is a sustainable internationalization strategy that is conducive to macroeconomic balance, in line with national welfare.

  Guan Tao, a senior researcher at the China Financial Forty Forum and former director of the Balance of Payments Department of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, pointed out that in 2016, the actual receipt and payment of RMB in cross-border trade between China and countries along the Belt and Road only accounted for 13.9% of the bilateral trade volume, and there is still much room for improvement. With the closer economic and trade exchanges between China and countries along the route, it is inevitable for the market to take RMB, one of the major international currencies, as the pricing negotiation currency in order to save exchange costs.

  However, under the current situation of exchange rate fluctuation and capital flow, RMB internationalization still has a long way to go. The National Financial Work Conference, which ended a few days ago, clearly pointed out that it is necessary to expand financial opening to the outside world, deepen the reform of RMB exchange rate formation mechanism, steadily promote RMB internationalization, and steadily realize capital account convertibility. At the same time, the meeting proposed to promote financial innovation in the construction of the "Belt and Road" and do a good job in the design of relevant systems.

  Sun Guofeng believes that taking advantage of the opportunity of the "Belt and Road" construction to promote the internationalization of the RMB should give full play to the role of various financial institutions, including development financial institutions. Because the "Belt and Road" construction has the characteristics of long project recovery cycle and huge capital demand, development finance can play an important role in it. At the same time, development finance and domestic and foreign commercial financial cooperation should be encouraged. The former mainly plays a leading role. After making profits, relevant institutions can transfer part of the financing to commercial financial institutions and continue to use the withdrawn funds for other development financial projects, so as to realize a benign turnover of funds.

  It is worth mentioning that the dispute over currency selection is a common problem in the process of promoting development finance. For example, there are voices that the interest rate of ten-year government bonds is only 0.05% due to the negative interest rate of the Japanese yen, and the absolute cost of financing is relatively low internationally. Comparatively speaking, will the higher cost of monetary financing lead to the lack of sufficient competitiveness in providing financing in China, thus slowing down the internationalization of RMB?

  According to Yin Yong, deputy governor of China People’s Bank, this understanding is not accurate. He pointed out that in developed financial markets, the choice of two currencies can be converted by currency swap operation, and both RMB and US dollar funds can be converted into Japanese yen with lower interest rate, and vice versa. In addition, China’s foreign exchange reserves include currencies of all developed countries and emerging market countries in the world, and if there are financing needs in other currencies, it can also meet them.

  "Because our RMB pool is relatively larger, we have a relatively competitive advantage in providing RMB funds, and the RMB should be able to ‘ Belt and Road ’ Play a greater role in construction. " Yin Yong said. (End)

Central Meteorological Observatory: Weak cold air continues to affect the north and there will be rain and snow in the south.

  Cctv newsOn December 25th, snow or sleet occurred in central and southern Shaanxi, southwestern Shanxi, Henan, western Shandong, western Hubei and other places, with the cumulative precipitation of 1-5 mm and local area of 6-10 mm in central Shaanxi.

  Affected by cold air, this morning, the temperature dropped by 6 ~ 8℃ in eastern and southern Qinghai, eastern Gansu, Ningxia, Shaanxi, northwestern Shanxi, central Inner Mongolia, southeastern Heilongjiang and central and eastern Jilin, with a local drop of 10 ~ 12℃. It is estimated that in the next three days, the temperature will drop by 4~6℃ in the eastern part of Northwest China, the central and eastern Inner Mongolia, the western part of North China and the eastern part of Southwest China, and the local temperature drop can reach more than 8℃. There are 4~5 winds and gusts of 6~8 in some areas mentioned above.

  It is expected that there will be a rainy and snowy weather process in the southern region from the night of today to the 29th. There will be small to medium snow or sleet in eastern Tibet, northern Yunnan, western Sichuan Plateau, southeastern Chongqing, Guizhou, western Hunan, western Hubei, southern Anhui, northwestern Zhejiang and other places, heavy snow in central and eastern Guizhou and western Hunan, and freezing rain in western Guizhou. There are light rains in Sichuan Basin, south-central Yunnan, southern Hunan, most of Jiangxi, most of Zhejiang, northern Fujian, Guangxi and northern Guangdong, and local rains; The main precipitation period is from 27th to 28th.

  In addition, there will be light snow in eastern Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang and northern Jilin tomorrow and tomorrow.

  Meteorologists reminded that there are still strong winds and cool weather in the northern region affected by cold air activities, and the public needs to take protective and warm measures; There will be rain and snow in many places in the south, and public travel needs to guard against the adverse effects of slippery roads and reduced visibility.

The highest temperature dropped to 20℃! Local level 7 gale! Mid-Autumn National Day The latest weather in Hunan →

During the Mid-Autumn National Day holiday, cold air activities are frequent, with cloudy and cloudy weather during the day from 28th to 29th, light rain affected by weak cold air from 29th to 1st October, moderate to heavy rain in the northwest of Hunan, and a slight drop in temperature. From 2nd to 4th, it was cloudy and cloudy during the day, with scattered showers, with obvious temperature recovery. From 4th to 6th, it was light rain affected by strong cold air, heavy rain in the north of Hunan, and local gust of 7 in the north wind. During holidays, it is necessary to strengthen the prevention of the adverse effects of rain, strong winds and other weather on traffic and outdoor activities.

First, the weather forecast in the province

The Mid-Autumn National Day holiday is dominated by cloudy days with staged cooling and rainy weather. From the evening of September 29th to October 1st, affected by the infiltration of weak cold air southward, there was light rain on cloudy days in the whole province, and the temperature dropped slightly. On the evening of the 29th, there was moderate to heavy rain in the northwest of Hunan (Attached Figure 1). From the evening of 4th to 6th, due to the influence of strong cold air, there was a heavy rain in the northwest of Hunan (attached figure 2), and the local gust of the north wind was level 4 ~ 5, and the maximum temperature could gradually drop to about 20℃ (attached figure 3). Specific forecast:

On the 28 th, there was light rain on cloudy days in southern Hunan, and cloudy weather was dominant in other areas; The north wind is 2 ~ 3; The highest temperature is 27 ~ 29℃ in northwest Hunan and 30 ~ 32℃ in other areas.

On the 29 th (Mid-Autumn Festival), there was light rain on cloudy days in southern Hunan, and it turned cloudy to light rain in other areas, including moderate to heavy rain in northwestern Hunan; The north wind increased from 2 to 3 to 3 to 4; The highest temperature is 27 ~ 29℃ in the north of Hunan and 30 ~ 32℃ in other areas.

On the 30 th, there was light rain in most parts of the province on cloudy days; The north wind is 2 ~ 3; The highest temperature is 23 ~ 25℃ in northwest Hunan and 28 ~ 30℃ in other areas.

On October 1 (National Day), there was light rain in most parts of the province on cloudy days; The north wind is 2 ~ 3; The highest temperature is 21 ~ 23℃ in northwest Hunan and 24 ~ 26℃ in other areas.

From 2 nd to 3 rd, the province is dominated by cloudy and cloudy weather with scattered showers; The north wind is 2 ~ 3; The highest temperature is 27 ~ 29℃ in the north and west of Hunan, and 30 ~ 32℃ in other areas.

On the 4 th, the northwest of Hunan turned cloudy to moderate rain, with heavy rain in the local area and cloudy to light rain in other areas; The north wind is increased from 2 to 3 to 4 to 5, and the local gust is 7; The highest temperature is 24 ~ 26℃ in northwest Hunan, 30 ~ 32℃ in southern Hunan and 27 ~ 29℃ in other areas.

On the 5th, there was moderate rain on cloudy days in northern Hunan, with heavy rains in Xiangxi, Zhangjiajie, northwestern Changde, southern Yueyang and eastern Changsha, and light rain on cloudy days in other areas. The north wind is 4 ~ 5, and the local gust is 7; The highest temperature is 20 ~ 22℃ in north Hunan, 29 ~ 31℃ in south Hunan and 23 ~ 25℃ in other areas.

On the 6 th, the rain in northern Hunan turned cloudy, and there was light rain on cloudy days in other areas; The north wind is 4 ~ 5, and the local gust is 7; The highest temperature is 17 ~ 19℃ in the north of Hunan and 21 ~ 23℃ in other areas.

Second, the national weather forecast

During the Mid-Autumn National Day holiday, it was rainy in Sichuan Basin, Jianghan, Huanghuai, eastern Qinghai and eastern Gansu. The rainy days in eastern Sichuan Basin and southwestern Shaanxi can last for 4 ~ 7 days. There are moderate to heavy rains in northeastern Sichuan, northern Chongqing, western Hubei, western Henan and northern Guizhou, with local heavy rains and strong convective weather such as short-term heavy precipitation. The accumulated precipitation in most parts of the country is 30 ~ 60mm, and it is 100 ~ 200mm in northeastern Sichuan, southwestern Shaanxi and northern Chongqing, with the local area exceeding 250mm.

Iii. Impact analysis and suggestions

1. Strengthen the prevention of the impact of rainy weather on traffic safety. Staged rainy weather will make the road surface wet and slippery, and rainy and foggy low visibility weather will cause driving sight distance deviation, which poses great risks to transportation and holiday travel safety; It is necessary to strengthen traffic guidance during the peak period of holiday travel to avoid serious congestion.

2. Pay attention to the disaster risk of strong local rainfall. There are rainy days in the early stage of the holiday, and the soil is easy to be too wet and soft. From the evening of the 4th to the 5th, attention should be paid to prevent secondary disasters such as geological disasters and urban waterlogging caused by heavy rainfall in Xiangxi, Zhangjiajie, northwest Changde, south Yueyang and eastern Changsha.

3. Pay attention to prevent the influence of windy weather. From the evening of the 4th to the 5th, there may be 4 ~ 5 winds in rivers, lakes and high-altitude areas, with local gusts above 7. It is necessary to strengthen the investigation of hidden dangers in water transportation, high-altitude scenic spots and outdoor recreation facilities, and strengthen the safety protection work.

4. Pay attention to prevent the impact of continuous rainy weather on agriculture. Since the 20th, there has been a persistent "cold dew wind" in some areas of northern Hunan and central Hunan. The persistent low temperature will affect the heading, pollination and filling of late rice, which may increase the empty shell rate. Attention should be paid to strengthening deep water irrigation and spraying foliar fertilizer to reduce the risk of yield reduction.

5. Pay attention to prevent strong cooling effects. From 30th to 1st October, the temperature in the province dropped slightly; After 4 days, the highest temperature in the province will drop to 20℃ and below. Attention should be paid to prevent the adverse effects of strong cooling on public travel in high altitude areas.

Attached Figure 1 Cumulative Rainfall Forecast of Hunan Province from 20: 00 on September 29th to 08: 00 on October 2nd.

Attached Figure 2 Cumulative Rainfall Forecast Chart of Hunan Province from 20: 00 on October 4th to 08: 00 on October 7th.

Figure 3 Maximum temperature drop and gale forecast in the process from 20: 00 on October 4th to 08: 00 on October 7th in Hunan Province.

Figure 4 National Precipitation Forecast from September 29th to October 6th.

(Source Hu Jie, editor of Hunan Meteorological Bureau)

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Original title: "The highest temperature drops to 20 C! Local level 7 gale! The latest weather in Hunan during Mid-Autumn National Day → "

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